Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.141306 2.235578 2.333097 2.441787 2.559877 2.684675 2.827029
2025-11-30 1.974501 2.106210 2.247910 2.412715 2.600452 2.809295 3.061546
2025-12-07 1.839519 1.994016 2.165266 2.371212 2.615025 2.898282 3.258206
2025-12-14 1.717200 1.883928 2.072956 2.306260 2.591086 2.934060 3.389247
2025-12-21 1.652143 1.833300 2.043170 2.308857 2.643372 3.061359 3.642594
2025-12-28 1.612038 1.807927 2.039537 2.340010 2.730020 3.236060 3.975377
2026-01-04 1.546323 1.747175 1.988095 2.306180 2.728372 3.291922 4.147614
2026-01-11 1.508256 1.717532 1.972403 2.315314 2.781711 3.424368 4.444745
2026-01-18 1.481497 1.699958 1.970018 2.340261 2.856498 3.591812 4.817158
2026-01-25 1.439634 1.661122 1.937941 2.322794 2.869584 3.668676 5.052957
2026-02-01 1.393521 1.614848 1.893837 2.285997 2.851578 3.695542 5.205671
2026-02-08 1.335445 1.551185 1.824402 2.210783 2.772692 3.621076 5.167626
2026-02-15 1.298137 1.515493 1.793551 2.192005 2.782201 3.696990 5.437176
2026-02-22 1.269404 1.490129 1.775634 2.190784 2.818520 3.821274 5.828138
2026-03-01 1.234395 1.455264 1.743437 2.167345 2.819028 3.886111 6.116053
2026-03-08 1.192363 1.409693 1.694878 2.117639 2.774857 3.869393 6.227494
2026-03-15 1.172027 1.392333 1.684261 2.122809 2.817959 4.011013 6.729214
2026-03-22 1.160750 1.386603 1.689292 2.151143 2.900402 4.234495 7.500592
2026-03-29 1.131895 1.355993 1.658089 2.122792 2.885969 4.272094 7.806036
2026-04-05 1.116272 1.342932 1.651148 2.131067 2.934012 4.437840 8.530785
2026-04-12 1.105638 1.336301 1.652974 2.152773 3.006697 4.663887 9.550241
2026-04-19 1.084734 1.314733 1.632346 2.137830 3.012862 4.750062 10.156248
2026-04-26 1.060008 1.287176 1.602105 2.106132 2.986420 4.761559 10.502164